The State of the Top 10 Manufacturing States in the Time of COVID-19

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Is that really a light at the end of the tunnel or, in the immortal words of Metallica, "just a freight train comin’ your way?" As some states rush to re-open while others continue to batten down the hatches to curb the spread of COVID-19, we may find out in a matter of weeks.

Be that as it may, we thought it would be an opportune moment to review how the top 10 manufacturing states have dealt with the crisis thus far and share projections of when they might see their last COVID-19-related death in this round of the pandemic. That information is compiled from an online tool maintained by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, an independent global health research center at the University of Washington. The number of total deaths associated with COVID-19 is aggregated by Wikipedia based on data pulled from state departments of health, and the unemployment figures, current as of March 31, 2020, were reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The states are listed in alphabetical order.

California

Non-essential services closed: March 19
Stay-at-home order: March 19
Peak: April 22 (139 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 2,215
Projected first day of zero deaths: May 16
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 5.3%

Ohio

Non-essential services closed: March 23
Stay-at-home order: March 23
Peak: April 22 (53 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 1,036
Projected first day of zero deaths: (unavailable)
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 5.5%

Illinois

Non-essential services closed: March 21
Stay-at-home order: March 21
Peak: April 28 (142 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 2,618
Projected first day of zero deaths: May 14
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 4.6%

Indiana

Non-essential services closed: March 24
Stay-at-home order: March 25
Peak: April 21 (58 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 1,151
Projected first day of zero deaths: May 16
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 3.2%

Michigan

Non-essential services closed: March 23
Stay-at-home order: March 24
Peak: April 22 (238 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 4,020
Projected first day of zero deaths: May 16
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 4.1%

New York

Non-essential services closed: March 22
Stay-at-home order: March 22
Peak: April 9 (1,061 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 18,909
Projected first day of zero deaths: May 24
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 4.5%

North Carolina

Non-essential services closed: March 30
Stay-at-home order: March 30
Peak: April 17 and 21 (27 deaths each day)
Total deaths as of May 3: 420
Projected first day of zero deaths: May 8
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 4.4%

Pennsylvania

Non-essential services closed: March 23
Stay-at-home order: April 1
Peak: April 21 (266 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 2,418
Projected first day of zero deaths: May 20
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 6.0%

Texas

Non-essential services closed: Not implemented
Stay-at-home order: April 2
Peak: April 28 (53 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 847
Projected first day of zero deaths: June 6
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 4.7%

Wisconsin

Non-essential services closed: March 25
Stay-at-home order: March 25
Peak: April 5 (20 deaths)
Total deaths as of May 3: 334
Projected first day of zero deaths: May 13
Unemployment rate as of March 31: 3.4%

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