“Undoubtedly, Nissan can sell some in the U.S. – a few thousand a year, perhaps 10,000 or 20,000 or 30,000,” Flint writes. “Some people will always want something new. But the Leaf is more likely to be a sales failure than a sales success.”
Flint cites four problems with the Leaf:
Range: “It promises 100 miles,” he says, “but expect that to be reduced by cold weather.”
Recharging: Flint predicts most recharging stations will be on the West Coast.
Recharging time: eight hours at 220V.
Price: Flint predicts the price may land close to $40,000. (Nissan has told Design News that it expects the price to be in the $30,000 range, but that figure isn’t set yet.)
Lithium-ion battery prices will drop rapidly over the next 10 years, setting the stage for plug-in vehicles to reach 5%-10% of total automotive sales by the mid- to late-2020s, according to a new study.
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